Oct 30th predictions

A lot of people are predicting tomorrow to be a day full of upsets and I tend to agree, though I don't really consider some of them upsets... teams lose so other teams that haven't done as much yet move up in the rankings and then it's their time to lose too. It's how it works. So let's play a little buy or sell with the big upset picks...

#2 Auburn loses at Ole Miss - SELL
Look, I get the trap road game concept and no SEC opponent is easy, but Newton is too good to not get past Ole Piss.

#1 Oregon falls at #16 USC - BUY
If you've been paying attention, I've been waiting on this for a few weeks. I really feel like this is USC's bowl game, plus they're coming off an extra week to prepare for the speed of this Oregon offense. The Ducks are better, but the Trojans take down #1.

#8 Mich St gets first loss at #17 Iowa - BUY
But it's not an upset. If I was Vegas and had to make a line for this one, I'd put Iowa as a favorite, probably by at least a TD.

#6 Mizzou gets dumped by #12 Nebraska - BUY
Again, I don't feel like this is an upset. And I like Missouri a lot too. But I like Nebraska too, and this awesome pass defense led by Prince Nakawasakamara or whatever his name is not going to let Mizzou come to town and take the Big 12 North in their last season. If I was setting a line for Vegas, I'd put Nebraska at -9.5 and I'd take the points.

So those are the big games people are talking about. Should any of these other teams be on upset watch?

#5 Utah @ Air Force - YES
Air Force is a legit team and Utah faces a mega trap game on the road that could really derail hype for next week's TCU-Utah showdown. Utah has put up killer numbers so far but has only played one even moderately good team, and they barely beat Pitt. I think AF takes them down in a close one.

#14 Stanford @ Washington - NO
Yeah, yeah, Jake Locker and all, but Washington is two points away from 1-6 and Stanford is one quarter away from a top five ranking. I love the Cardinal.

#15 Arizona @ UCLA - YES
Arizona is also a field goal away from a top five ranking, but it's been a lot more smoke and mirrors and they haven't really gone on a tough road trip yet. UCLA could win or lose this game by 21 though. I'll take the win this week.

#19 Oklahoma St @ Kansas St - YES
All world Justin Blackmon is suspended this week, and I'm worried Weeden won't be able to do much. Should be a fun game to watch great running backs, with Kendall Hunter and Daniel Thomas running up and down the field. I like the home team.

#24 Baylor @ Texas - I THINK SO
Texas is absolutely embarassing. It's the names of these two schools alone that make me pick the Longhorns to win. They've fallen pretty low, but losing at home to Baylor? Too much pride to do that.

And last but not least, the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party pitting Georgia and Florida, two teams still vying for the SEC East title and a shot to get destroyed in the SEC title game. This is always a good game and should be again. I like the Gators to win this one and right the ship after a month of losing, still on track to get their shot at Bama (or Auburn?).

Big day of games! I'm excited.